Valspar Championship 2026 Betting Preview, Odds And Picks: Betting On Brooks
The PGA Tour wraps up the Florida swing this week with the Valspar Championship, as gamers make one final stop before moving focus toward Texas and, eventually, the Masters.
At Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, the field will face among the harder and more unique tests on the schedule.
Let's break down the chances, course setup and best bets for today's Valspar Championship.
Valspar Championship 2026 Odds
Xander Schauffele (+1100 )
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400 )
Viktor Hovland (+1800 )
Akshay Bhatia (+2200 )
Jacob Bridgeman (+2200 )
Justin Thomas (+2200 )
Brooks Koepka (+2500 )
Jordan Spieth (+2500 )
Patrick Cantlay (+2500 )
Corey Conners (+3000 )
Ryo Hisatsune (+3000 )
J.J. Spaun (+3500 )
Sahith Theegala (+3500 )
Austin Smotherman (+4000 )
Ben Griffin (+4000 )
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000 )
Nick Taylor (+5500 )
Aaron Rai (+6000 )
Copperhead Course: What to Know
Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course|Palm, Harbor, Florida
Par: 71
Yardage: 7,352
Greens: Poa Trivialis (16th smallest on Tour).
Fairways: Overseeded Ryegrass (fourth narrowest).
Rough: Overseeded Ryegrass (4 inches).
Bunkers: 74.
Water in Play: 6
Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has four courses on residential or commercial property, however Copperhead is the one that's hosted this event because it debuted on Tour back in 2000.
It is among the more underrated stops on the schedule and a layout gamers tend to enjoy playing on. You're not getting your typical Florida setup here either. Instead of large fairways and flat terrain, Copperhead includes narrow, pine tree-lined passages, plenty of tight doglegs and some noticeable elevation modifications throughout. It resembles TPC Sawgrass where positioning matters more than just battle it off the tee.
Because of that, gamers are required to club down off the tee, which shifts the advantage away from distance and towards technique play.
Copperhead isn't a standard par 71 either. It includes five par 3s, all 195 yards or longer, and they rank as the ninth most difficult set of par threes on Tour. The four par fives are far from easy as well, grading out as the 4th most difficult group regardless of being the very best chances for birdies.
It's likewise very much a second-shot course. Around 53% of approach shots originate from beyond 175 yards, with gamers hitting into small, firm greens that are difficult to hold. That's a huge reason greens in policy sit around simply 57%, among the most affordable marks on Tour.
You're going to have actually to be dialed in with your irons to develop opportunities.
And with motorist used on hardly half of tee shots, there isn't much separation off the tee. Strokes got off the tee hasn't been an essential sign of success here, which puts much more pressure on technique play and the brief game.
With greens missed as frequently as they are, being able to gain strokes around the green becomes a huge benefit when it pertains to saving par and avoiding mistakes.
Add in among the most difficult closing stretches on Tour with the Snake Pit, and this becomes more about limiting mistakes and playing what's thought about dull golf.
Approach play is the most significant top priority today, specifically at similar difficult scoring courses. With a lot of shots originating from 175 backyards and out into small, firm greens, I'm greatly weighting SG: APP and distance from distance.
From there, I'm concentrating on players who can deal with a grind. That means taking a look at bogey avoidance, rushing and SG: ARG, along with excellent drive percentage to stay in position. I'm also factoring in par 3 and par 5 scoring, putting splits on Poa surface areas and overall efficiency in challenging scoring conditions.
Valspar Championship Picks
Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 )
It was a rocky start to Brooks Koepka's return to the Tour, finishing T-56 at the Farmers Insurance Open and after that missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, however it didn't take wish for him to recover.
Koepka reacted with a T-9 at the Cognizant Classic and followed that up with a T-13 surface last week at THE PLAYERS.
This season, among this field, Koepka ranks 2nd in SG: APP. Over the past number of years at courses with difficult scoring conditions, he's 21st in that metric, and when you pair that with strong greens in regulation numbers and his distance from 175+ backyards, it's precisely what you want at a course like this.
He's also 23rd in SG: ARG over his last 36 rounds, which shows that even if his irons aren't called, he can still offset it around the green.
This field uses a terrific chance for a star player to shine.
J.J. Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )
I went back and forth on whether to pull the trigger on J.J. Spaun this week. It hasn't been a great start to the year, with his best finish coming recently at THE PLAYERS (T-24), however he's appearing a huge method my design, ranking 4th overall.
He's first in SG: TOT in comparable scoring conditions, third in GIR% over his last 36 rounds, 8th in SG: APP, 10th in Bogey Avoidance and 15th in Good Drive Percentage with a mixed club choice off the tee.
The putter has actually cooled off a bit, which is actually the main concern, however if that even returns to average, the rest of his video game remains in a solid area for a course like Copperhead.
With the Masters around the corner, Spaun might use a strong proving, and this feels like one of the much better possibilities for him to put it together.
Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )
How could I not go back to Corey Conners for a 3rd straight week? The Canadian cured us well at THE PLAYERS. Not only did he hold the lead for a stretch, but he eventually cashed us a Leading 20 (+168) ticket with a T-13 finish at TPC Sawgrass.
I had him rated highly in my model last week, and the exact same is taking place once again for the Valspar Championship. He finished T-8 last year at this occasion and in overall has 12 rounds at Innisbrook, publishing a True SG mark of +1.63.
Conners ranks 2nd in Bogey Avoidance at difficult scoring courses, fourth in SG: APP and sixth in Birdie or Better Percentage. He's been extremely accurate off the tee with a selection, he's hitting greens in guideline at a high rate (second) and has actually done a good job benefiting from Par fives.
What hasn't been as strong is the putter, in addition to his play around the green and on harder Par 3s. Still, he was able to overcome that last week. In a weaker field he might certainly do it again and in fact win this thing.
Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )
This male has been a popular wagering selection this season, and for good reason.
The 25-year-old hasn't completed worse than T-27, which came recently at THE PLAYERS. His finest surfaces consist of a T-3 at the Phoenix Open and a T-6 at the Cognizant Classic.
Hojgaard's irons have been called in, the putter has been strong and he ranks initially in SG: Par 3 over the past number of seasons on average-to-difficult Par 3s.
He'll require to remain constant off the tee and be a bit sharper around the green, but if he can do that, there's no reason he can't find himself near the top of the leaderboard again and perhaps even break through for his first PGA Tour win.
Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )
Ryo Hisatsune finished T-4 at this occasion in 2015, and the season prior he posted a T-33. In total, he's gained +1.68 strokes per round at Innisbrook.
What's much more persuading is his present form. He's missed simply one cut in eight tournaments this season, and that came in his first start of the year at the Sony Open.
His best results consist of a T-2 at the Farmers, a T-8 at Pebble Beach and a T-13 finish last week at THE PLAYERS.
He ranks sixth in SG: TOT on similar tracks and is also 6th in GIR% over his last 36 rounds. He's also adding a 12th-place mark in Scrambling, 18th in Bogey Avoidance and 32nd in SG: PUTT on Poa Trivialis.
His iron play has taken a step forward this season and if that continues, it could carry him even further at Innisbrook this time around
Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )
It's time for our dark-horse choice of the week, which comes from 27-year-old South Carolina native Mac Meissner.
It may be crazy to back a gamer coming off back-to-back missed cuts, however with him ranking 6th overall in my model this week, he is difficult to ignore.
Meissner ranks first in Bogey Avoidance, 2nd in Scrambling and seventh in SG: APP at tough courses comparable to Copperhead.
He's also carried out well here, completing T-26 in 2024 and T-28 in 2025, posting a True SG mark of +1.05.
I think Meissner's got some value this week. I'll gladly lay -108 for a Top 40, and hope we're also sweating a 90/1 outright ticket come Sunday.
Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ).
Taylor Pendrith Top 30 Finish (+100 )
Something about those Canadians this week, eh? My model is high up on our good friends from the Great White North, and I do not want to lose out on wagering them to end up Top 30.
I don't believe they have enough to win this tournament outright, however I believe they'll stay competitive for all 4 days.
Taylor hasn't missed a cut this season, and his play around the green can carry him through the week.
Meanwhile, Pendrith is appearing 10th in my design.
So let's add these two golfers to the card as well, however just with their Top 30 wagers.
Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 ). Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )
Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )
Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )
Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )
Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )
Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 )
Taylor Pendrith Top 3o Finish (+100 )