2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Odds, Mendoza Favored
The 2026 NFL potential customers have been able to put plenty on movie this past college football season, and Fernando Mendoza has actually increased above the pack after to their first National Championship.
In an unexpected turn of events, forecasted No. 2 quarterback Dante Moore decided to go back to Oregon for his senior year.
Moore has actually been mocked to the New york city Jets with the 2nd general pick for a while now, and his statement leaves the Jets in limbo.
Here's an appearance at the chances to go No. 1 general after his statement:
2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Odds
Fernando Mendoza
-20000
Arvell Reese
David Bailey
+8000
Ty Simpson
+10000
Caleb Downs
Rueben Bain Jr.
+12500
Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Fernando Mendoza (-20000) is the clear favorite to be chosen initially overall in the 2026 NFL Draft with about four months. Moore's announcement dropped Mendoza's chances from -1000, all the way to -20000.
The Cal-transfer has changed Indiana's group from a strong, defensive-minded system in 2015 to a powerhouse on both sides of the ball. Mendoza has an NFL develop, standing at 6'5, and weighing 225 pounds.
He's finished 71.5% of his passes for 2,980 lawns, 33 goals, and 6 interceptions, while leading the Hoosiers to a 13-0 record, a Huge Ten Championship, the Championship game, and the No. 1 seed going into the playoff.
After Moore's statement, Arvell Reese leapt up to No. 2 at +8000. The Buckeyes linebacker, is an alien that can play off-the-ball linebacker or line up on the edge and hurry the QB.
He's exceptionally strong, quick, and nimble and was appearing all over the tape through the beginning parts of the season, however hasn't been as efficient in the back half.
Texas Tech's David Bailey's odds have also jumped after an excellent efficiency at the NFL Combine.
The pass rush stands 6' 3" tall, and 250 pounds. in 2025 he racked up 14.5 sacks and three forced fumbles, and has gone beyond Rueben Bain Jr who has actually been docked by scouts for having shorter arms than standard elite pass rushers.
Alabama's Simpson (+10000) is the 2nd QB on this list after bring a Crimson Tide offense that can hardly run the ball. The junior has 3,268 passing backyards and 26 touchdowns while throwing 5 choices.
Simpson is smooth and accurate with a quick throwing motion that must equate well to the NFL.
Ohio State's safety Caleb Downs (+12500) is a forecasted top-ten choice due to his football IQ and do-it-all playstyle where he can cover on the back-end, and come up to lay the boom on a running back like a linebacker.
Another protective player with +125000 odds to go number one is Miami's defensive end Rueben Bain Jr. The Hurricane is 6'3, 275 lbs and has taped 4.5 sacks and 7.5 tackles for loss while forcing a fumble and grabbing an interception and has controlled in the playoffs.
Arch Manning was the preseason odds-on favorite to go No. 1, however after a slower year than anticipated he prepares to go back to Texas for another season.
Miami (FL) vs. Indiana: 2026 National Championship Preview.